🔍 Market Movers: April 16-17, 2025

Key Economic Events Impacting US100, NASDAQ, S&P, EUR/USD, GBP/USD & Asian Session

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🗓️ Today’s Highlights – April 16, 2025

🇺🇸 United States

• Core Retail Sales m/m: 0.4% (Forecast: 0.5%)
• Retail Sales m/m: 0.6% (Above expectations)
• FOMC Member Bowman Speaks
• Business Inventories m/m: Expected 0.4%
• Crude Oil Inventories: Watch for oil price reaction (affecting inflation outlook)

📊 Impact on Assets

• US100 / NASDAQ / S&P 500:
  Better-than-expected retail sales boosted risk appetite early in the NY session, pushing tech-heavy indices like NASDAQ and US100 higher intraday. However, Fed commentary from Bowman emphasized continued inflation vigilance, which may dampen momentum going into tomorrow.
• EUR/USD & GBP/USD:
  The USD strengthened briefly post-retail data, creating downside pressure on EUR/USD and GBP/USD. However, these pairs remain range-bound as traders await more clarity from Eurozone and UK economic data tomorrow.

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🔮 Tomorrow’s Outlook – April 17, 2025

🌍 Key Events to Watch

🇪🇺 Eurozone

• Final CPI y/y: Forecast at 2.4%
• Final Core CPI y/y: Forecast at 2.9%
  ➤ High-impact for EUR/USD. Any upward revision may fuel euro strength.

🇬🇧 United Kingdom

• Retail Sales m/m: Forecast at -0.3%
  ➤ Critical for GBP/USD. A weak figure could continue the downside momentum.

🇦🇺 Australia / 🇳🇿 New Zealand

• No major data, but Asian markets react to U.S. session
  ➤ Expect cautious tone during Asian session open as traders digest U.S. sales data and anticipate Europe inflation numbers.

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🌐 Asset Class Breakdown

🔹 US100 / NASDAQ

With strong U.S. retail numbers and hawkish Fed undertones, volatility is expected.
➡️ Levels to Watch:

• Resistance: 18,560
• Support: 18,340
  Traders should prepare for a breakout move if CPI data from Europe sparks global inflation concerns.

🔹 S&P 500

Retail strength is bullish for the S&P short term, but FOMC sentiment tempers upside.
➡️ Watch for a potential pullback on Fed commentary continuation.

🔹 EUR/USD

Euro CPI figures are pivotal.
➡️ A CPI surprise to the upside could send EUR/USD back above 1.08.
➡️ Weak data could accelerate declines toward 1.07.

🔹 GBP/USD

Retail Sales data is expected to disappoint.
➡️ A negative surprise may send GBP/USD lower toward 1.24.

🔹 Asian Session Outlook

The Asian markets may open subdued, reflecting U.S. inflation resilience and upcoming Euro data.
➡️ AUD/USD and NZD/USD likely to remain range-bound with mild USD strength.

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📌 Trading Strategy Tips

• Scalp early NY session around retail sales or FOMC headlines.
• Prepare for volatility in the EUR/USD and GBP/USD pairs during the European session.
• Use tight risk management during Asian hours due to potential sideways movement.

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📷 Visuals for Traders

Charts and technical levels to be updated post-close. For now, monitor previous highs and FOMC key levels.

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📚 Sources

• Forex Factory Economic Calendar – Today
• Forex Factory Economic Calendar – Tomorrow
• Federal Reserve – Speeches and Statements

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⚠️ Disclaimer

The information provided in this article is strictly for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or trading guidance. All trading and investment decisions are made at your own risk.

The financial markets, including indices such as the US100 (Nasdaq 100), carry significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Before making any financial decisions, please consult with a certified financial advisor. We are not responsible for any profit or loss that may occur as a result of decisions made based on this content.